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Will the Chiefs stop their slide vs the rising Raiders?

Playoff implications in the AFC West will be front and center for a Week 14 tilt between the Kansas City Chiefs and Oakland Raiders. Both teams have struggled mightily this season at 6-6 SU and both are falling significantly short of their preseason hype. This game has all the makings of a “loser leaves town” match and despite dropping six of their last seven games, the Chiefs opened as 3.5-point favorites at Arrowhead Stadium.

  • The Raiders haven’t swept the season series vs the Chiefs since 2012.
  • The Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games vs divisional opponents.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Chiefs’ last 12 games in the early afternoon.

What more can be said about the Chiefs’ free fall. After Week 5, they were the toast of the league at 5-0 SU. Fast-forward to Week 14 and Kansas City took another brutal loss from the Jets when it seemed to have the game in hand. Poor discipline and allowing another 300-yard passing day to an opposing quarterback have contributed heavily to the Chiefs’ decline. And issues like this need to fall on head coach Andy Reid. The only saving grace for Chiefs backers is they’re 5-1 SU in their last six games vs the Raiders and it would be tough for Kansas City to lose twice in a season to a division rival. Another encouraging note is they did score 31 points on the Jets defense last week and could easily put up another 30 on the Raiders’ 22nd-ranked defense. If bettors plan to back the Chiefs this week, consider their moneyline.

Oakland will be gunning for its third win in a row and has shown signs of life after beating up on the hapless Giants and Broncos. The Raiders are also expected to have wideouts Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper back in the lineup, which is bad news for Kansas City, which ranks 28th in passing yards allowed at 245 per game. Running back Marshawn Lynch had a throwback game versus the Giants, scoring on a 51-yard touchdown run and securing his first 100-yard rushing game since coming out of retirement. While recent trends would show the Raiders on the upswing, they’ll be in tough to knock off the Chiefs at Arrowhead, where they have lost four straight.

The total opened at 47 points and the UNDER may be the way to go. The total has gone UNDER in three of the last four games in this matchup. The UNDER has also hit in six of the Raiders’ last seven games vs divisional opponents. Expect a tight low-scoring game where neither team will want to take chances with the division title up for grabs.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Bettors who were going with the Kansas City Chiefs in this one found them listed as 4-point favorites on the betting line at Bovada. Fans betting on totals have seen that number set earlier in the week at 47.5 for Sunday.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas picked a 25-24 win for the Chiefs. Injuries during the week may cause the formula to be re-run, so check the NFL picks page before game time. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

Oakland Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Kansas City Chiefs currently sport a record of 6-6, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 6-6 ATS. The Oakland Raiders are 6-6 and 4-7-1 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Chiefs post a 7-5 OVER/UNDER record this season, while the Raiders have gone 5-7 against the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Kansas City vs Oakland injuries news.

This game matches up the No. 12 (Kansas City Chiefs) and the No. 24 (Oakland Raiders) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at Odds Shark.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Kansas City Chiefs' No. 7-ranked offense (24.73 PPG) against a Oakland Raiders defense that ranks No. 19 at 23.73 PPG. The Chiefs passing attack has averaged 246 yards per game, more than the Raiders give up through the air (244.73 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Raiders feature the league's No. 22-rated road run defense, allowing 121.2 yards per game. The Chiefs, meanwhile, rank No. 26 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Marshawn Lynch tore up the turf for 101 rushing yards in the latest Raiders game, a 24-17 win over the Giants at Oakland Alameda Coliseum.

Alex D. Smith beat the Jets secondary for 4 TDs last time out, but the Chiefs lost to New York 38-31 at MetLife Stadium.

Betting Trends
  • Oakland is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • Oakland is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
  • Kansas City is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Kansas City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
  • Kansas City is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Kansas City's last 17 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Oakland home to Dallas, Sunday, December 17
Kansas City home to Los Angeles, Saturday, December 16