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NHL Playoff Pick For Game 7 And NBA Conference Finals Picks - May 10

In terms of bad beats, they really don’t get any worse in sports than what we saw last night in the Sixers-Celtics game. 

Boston actually covered the spread by accident – by freakin’ accident! – when Marcus Smart intended to miss a free throw with 2.4 seconds left. Instead of missing the freebie he hurtled toward the hoop, the shot rattled off the rim and the backboard and somehow managed to carom in like the basket was a ball-eating monster. 

It was ridiculous. It gave the Celtics the cover as 1.5-point favorites in a 114-112 win, which goes to show you when you’re hot, you’re hot. 

Boston is the best bet in the NBA playoffs at 9-3 against the spread and the best bet in the NBA overall this season. That didn’t help me any last night where I had the Sixers. Here’s my playoff record: 

Now 20-19-1 in the NHL. I’m up $100 (based on $100/gm bets)
Now 21-20 ATS in the NBA. I’m 9-4 ATS in my last 13 ATS picks.

On to tonight. The Jets face the Predators for Game 7 of their Round 2 series. Ninja and I also discuss the NBA conference series prices in the video above. 

Jets at Predators -150, 5.5 

Historically, home teams win the seventh game of a series 59 percent of the time (100-70) and these odds reflect that. The implied odds of -150 are 60 percent, in case anyone out there is into that sort of thing. 
  
What’s also relevant is that the Jets have a knack for bouncing back after a loss lately, while the Predators haven’t been stringing together consecutive wins. Winnipeg is 21-5-4 after a loss this season and 3-0 in the playoffs while the Preds are 0-5 in their last five games following a victory. 

Game 7 is a little bit of a different story with so much on the line. Goaltenders will be a huge factor in this one and for these playoffs at least, Winnipeg’s Connor Hellebuyck has been the better stopper. He owns the edge over Nashville’s Pekka Rinne in save percentage (.922 vs .907) and the Jets have allowed 10 fewer goals than the Preds these playoffs. 

Nashville holds the edge in faceoff percentage (55.4 vs 49.4) and a significant edge on the penalty kill these playoffs (84.2 percent vs 75 percent). So if you’re a believer it’s the little things that win Game 7s, Nashville might be your play. 

Me? I think the Preds have looked tired defensively as the playoffs have gone on and I like the Jets with the goaltending edge. 

Pick: Jets +130 

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