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Super Bowl 52 Futures: Can Anyone Beat the Patriots?

The divisional round of the NFL playoffs was quite unpredictable, with the exception of the Patriots absolutely stomping the Titans. Other results saw castoff and/or heavily ridiculed QBs lead their teams to wins, which sets up the most bizarre collection of final four teams in quite some time. With the Patriots being the most experienced (and most skilled) of the remaining four teams, it shouldn’t come as much of a shock to see them as a +105 favorite to win the Super Bowl.

Twitter trolls and Massholes will be going all-in during the buildup to the AFC title game, mocking the very thought of Blake Bortles attempting to go into Gillette Stadium to upset the great Tom Brady. Unfortunately, their crude insults will likely be justified as a Jaguars win in New England would be one of the biggest upsets in NFL playoff history. Jacksonville is a +9.5-point underdog for the game and the path to a second consecutive Super Bowl berth for the Patriots appears to be an easy one.

In the NFC, we have the unlikely quarterback pairing of Case Keenum and Nick Foles in a matchup that absolutely no one would have predicted at the start of the season. The Eagles will continue to be fueled by the “no one believes in us” mindset as they’re a 3.5-point home underdog. Home field is massive in this one, as the Eagles have allowed the fewest points per game at home this season (13). At this point of the season, there’s not much value on the Super Bowl futures oddsboard, but the Eagles at +625 is likely your best shot at earning a big profit.

Considering what we’ve seen in the playoffs so far, we shouldn’t be surprised by anything that happens the rest of the way. Common sense tells us that the Patriots are a shoo-in to win it all again, but stranger things have happened. The Vikings, in particular, stand out as a threat to dethrone the Patriots, as they’re one win away from being the first team in NFL history to play a Super Bowl on their home field.

Who do you think takes it all? Let us know in the comment section below.

Odds to Win Super Bowl LII
TeamOdds
New England Patriots+105
Minnesota Vikings+210
Philadelphia Eagles+625
Jacksonville Jaguars+650

Odds as of January 15 at Bovada

Archived Articles

The NFL’s version of the Elite Eight is set after a very unpredictable Wild Card Weekend that saw two underdogs move on to the divisional round and all four underdogs cover the spread. The most shocking result was the Tennessee Titans climbing out of a 21-3 halftime hole in Kansas City, upsetting the Chiefs, who were an 8.5-point favorite. As a result, they’ll be “rewarded” with a matchup in New England vs the defending Super Bowl champions.

The Patriots maintain their spot at the top of the Super Bowl futures oddsboard, coming in at +200. They’re a massive favorite vs the Titans, opening at -13.5, which is easily the biggest spread of the week. If you’re feeling lucky and are thinking of placing a bet on Tennessee to win outright, you should pump the brakes. New England is 28-2 SU in its last 30 games as a double-digit home favorite, while the Titans haven’t pulled off an upset as a double-digit dog in over a decade.

The marquee matchup in the divisional round features the New Orleans Saints visiting the Minnesota Vikings. This is a rematch of a Week 1 game that the Vikings won 29-19, but both squads have taken on a much different look since that matchup. Sam Bradford and Dalvin Cook were leading the Vikings offense, while Adrian Peterson was making his debut in a Saints uniform. The Vikings find themselves with the second-best odds to win the Super Bowl at +375, while the Saints come in at +550. New Orleans offers the best value on the oddsboard, as they’d very likely be a favorite in the NFC title game if they can get past the Vikings.

The Jacksonville Jaguars (+1800) are the only long shot worthy of consideration at this point. They opened as a 6.5-point underdog for their game in Pittsburgh, but they shouldn’t be overlooked in this game. In one of their better performances of the season, they destroyed the Steelers in Pittsburgh, 30-9.

Here’s a look at every team’s odds entering the divisional round:

Odds to Win Super Bowl LII
TeamOdds
New England Patriots+200
Minnesota Vikings+375
Pittsburgh Steelers+500
New Orleans Saints+550
Atlanta Falcons+700
Philadelphia Eagles+1400
Jacksonville Jaguars+1800
Tennessee Titans+5000

Odds as of January 8 at Bovada

Archived Articles

NFL teams spend all season long battling to ensure their place in the playoffs but there is little doubt that some postseason seeding is more valued than others. The top two teams in each conference get a first-round bye – and at least one guaranteed home game – which can be vital in the trek toward the Lombardi Trophy.

Of course, that won’t stop fan bases of lower-seeded playoff teams from saying “momentum this” and “streaking that.” However, the proof is in the pudding in terms of the importance of the first-round bye.

Of the 20 teams to compete in a Super Bowl in the past decade, 15 have managed to avoid play on Wild Card Weekend. In fact, each of the past four Super Bowls has been contested by two teams that had a first-round bye.

The last time a team played on Wild Card Weekend and made the big game came in 2013 when the Baltimore Ravens knocked off the Indianapolis Colts, Denver Broncos, New England Patriots and San Francisco 49ers on their way to winning Super Bowl XLVII.

There is something to be said about a team that can emerge from the wild-card games and claw its way into the Super Bowl. Of the past eight wild-card teams that eventually made the Super Bowl, seven ended up hoisting the Lombardi Trophy.

What does this ultimately mean? It means that if you are going to make a Super Bowl futures bet before playoff games begin, you are likely better off taking one of the top two seeds in either conference – this season that means the Patriots, Steelers, Eagles or Vikings. However, if you see a team come out of the wild-card game running red-hot, then jump on them because if they do make the Super Bowl, history says they have a good chance of winning.

Odds to Win Super Bowl LII
TeamOdds
New England Patriots+210
Minnesota Vikings+375
Pittsburgh Steelers+525
New Orleans Saints+750
Los Angeles Rams+900
Philadelphia Eagles+1200
Kansas City Chiefs+1800
Jacksonville Jaguars+2200
Carolina Panthers+2500
Atlanta Falcons+2500
Tennessee Titans+7500
Buffalo Bills+7500

Odds as of January 1 at Bovada

Archived Articles

With one week left in the 2017 NFL regular season, oddsmakers are united across the board on which team is the undisputed favorite to win the Super Bowl.

At Bovada, the New England Patriots are the +240 faves to repeat as Super Bowl champs, with the Minnesota Vikings (+375), Pittsburgh Steelers (+475), New Orleans Saints (+1000), Philadelphia Eagles (+1000), Los Angeles Rams (+1000), Jacksonville Jaguars (+1400), Kansas City Chiefs (+1800), Carolina Panthers (+1800), Atlanta Falcons (+2800), Baltimore Ravens (+2800), Los Angeles Chargers (+7500), Seattle Seahawks (+7500), Tennessee Titans (+7500) and Buffalo Bills (+15000) available to wager on.

The Patriots have been at the top of the list since the preseason, so seeing them there is no surprise. But the Vikings, who were +600 a week ago, are in unprecedented territory right now. If you had told me at the start of the season that a team quarterbacked by Case Keenum would have the second-best odds to win the Super Bowl, I would’ve laughed in your face, but here we are. To put it lightly, this has been a very, very strange regular season.

Bettors looking for value will have no shortage of options with appealing teams getting long odds. Injuries to key players have been an unfortunate common theme across the NFL this year, but it’s undeniable that the league hasn’t been this wide open in quite some time. It’s going to be a wild race to the finish and we at OddsShark are here to help line your pockets every step of the way.

Odds to Win Super Bowl LII
TeamOdds
New England Patriots+240
Minnesota Vikings+375
Pittsburgh Steelers+475
New Orleans Saints+1000
Philadelphia Eagles+1000
Los Angeles Rams+1000
Jacksonville Jaguars+1400
Kansas City Chiefs+1800
Carolina Panthers+1800
Atlanta Falcons+2800
Baltimore Ravens+2800
Los Angeles Chargers+7500
Seattle Seahawks+7500
Tennessee Titans+7500
Buffalo Bills+15000

Odds as of December 26 at Bovada

Archived Articles

Many people, including myself, immediately crossed the Philadelphia Eagles off the list of serious Super Bowl contenders as soon as Carson Wentz was declared done for the season due to a torn ACL. Even oddsmakers are a bit down on them, as their odds to win the Super Bowl have dipped to +900, despite still being in possession of the top seed in the NFC. However, after watching Wentz’s replacement, Nick Foles, lead the Eagles to a road win over the Giants in Week 15, I’m starting to think the Eagles still have a great shot to compete come playoff time.

Sure, beating the lowly Giants is nothing to write home about, but Foles played without any restrictions and tossed four touchdown passes and zero picks on 38 attempts. While fantasy nuts were buzzing about the four TD passes, it was the zero picks that stood out to me. Let’s not forget that the Eagles have one of the best rush attacks in the NFL (second in rushing yards), so if their QB can protect the ball, they stand an excellent chance to win in the playoffs, especially if they retain the No. 1 seed in the conference.

They control their destiny at this point and might not have to play a game on the road until the Super Bowl — if they can make it that far. Their final two regular-season games take place at home (Raiders on Christmas Day, Cowboys in Week 17), while the team breathing down their necks, the Vikings, have to go on the road this week to play the Packers. So, it looks like the road to the Super Bowl in the NFC will go through the sub-zero temperatures of Philadelphia, which is a massive advantage for the Eagles when you consider the other top contenders in the conference are either dome or warmer-climate clubs.

So, yes, the Eagles can still fly with Foles, but something to monitor is their rapidly declining defense that’s given up an average of almost 30 points over the last three games. Prior to this, they had allowed just over 17 points per game, so if there’s anything regarding the Eagles to be pessimistic about, it’s the defensive side of the ball.

Here’s a look at the complete Super Bowl futures oddsboard:

Odds to Win Super Bowl LII
TeamOdds
New England Patriots+240
Pittsburgh Steelers+600
Minnesota Vikings+600
New Orleans Saints+900
Philadelphia Eagles+1000
Los Angeles Rams+1000
Jacksonville Jaguars+1400
Atlanta Falcons+1400
Carolina Panthers+1800
Kansas City Chiefs+1800
Baltimore Ravens+3300
Dallas Cowboys+4000
Los Angeles Chargers+5000
Seattle Seahawks+5000
Tennessee Titans+10000
Detroit Lions+15000
Buffalo Bills+15000

Odds as of December 21 at Bovada

Archived Articles

Like any Monday morning, there’s the usual flurry of odds movement in Super Bowl futures, with the most notable adjustment being the Philadelphia Eagles going from +550 to +900 following the season-ending injury to quarterback Carson Wentz. One team that barely budged, however, was the Carolina Panthers, whose odds shifted from +2500 to +2200 after they handed the Minnesota Vikings just their third loss of the season.

If the season ended today, the Panthers would be in the playoffs as the fifth seed in the NFC, but seven other teams in the conference have better odds to win the Super Bowl. Carolina is the most unpredictable team in the NFL this season, as evidenced by their 5-1 SU record as an underdog and 4-3 SU mark as a favorite, but when they’re at their best, they’ve beaten the best — the Vikings on Sunday and the Patriots in Week 4.

With Nick Foles set to fill in at quarterback for the Eagles, they can be crossed off as a serious Super Bowl threat, and as a result, the path to the Super Bowl for a team like the Panthers becomes simplified. Currently tied with the Saints at 9-4, they have a shot to win the NFC South, although New Orleans has an easier remaining schedule. Either way, a win in the wild-card round could set them up for a game vs the Wentz-less Eagles or the Vikings, whom they already have a win over. There’s also a possibility that the Panthers win their remaining three games, which could lead to a top-two seed if the teams ahead of them in the standings slip.

This Panthers offense is starting to look similar to the 2015 version that led the league with 31.3 points per game. Over their last four games, they’ve averaged 33 points per game, while Cam Newton currently holds the crown as the best dual threat in the league as he’s averaged over 60 rushing yards per game over his last eight games. Combine that with Christian McCaffrey’s weekly improvement and a healthy Greg Olsen, and the Panthers have the most versatile offense in the NFL.

There’s absolutely a lot of ifs surrounding this team, but with the new-found uncertainty in the NFC and their +2200 odds, no other team offers better value on the Super Bowl futures oddsboard.

Here’s a look at the complete oddsboard:

Odds to Win Super Bowl LII
TeamOdds
New England Patriots+225
Pittsburgh Steelers+400
Minnesota Vikings+800
Philadelphia Eagles+900
New Orleans Saints+1400
Los Angeles Rams+1600
Seattle Seahawks+1800
Jacksonville Jaguars+1800
Green Bay Packers+1800
Atlanta Falcons+2000
Carolina Panthers+2200
Los Angeles Chargers+2200
Tennessee Titans+2800
Kansas City Chiefs+3300
Baltimore Ravens+6600
Dallas Cowboys+7500
Detroit Lions+7500
Buffalo Bills+15000
Oakland Raiders+20000
Cincinnati Bengals+75000
Miami Dolphins+100000
Arizona Cardinals+100000

Odds as of December 11 at Bovada

Archived Articles

Look up. All the way up to the top of the NFC standings and you’ll find the Minnesota Vikings at 10-2. Now the owner of the conference’s top seed after an eighth straight win (and seventh straight cover), the Vikings must be looked at as a serious Super Bowl threat, but it wasn’t supposed to be this way. Minnesota was an easy candidate to write off after losing both Sam Bradford and Dalvin Cook but an unlikely cast of new-found offensive stars has them among the NFL’s elite.

After opening the season at +2500, the Vikings can now be had at +800, which is the fourth highest on the oddsboard. The most unpredictable part of this Vikings run has been the play of quarterback Case Keenum, who’s gone from castoff to a potential Pro Bowler during a 10-game stretch that’s seen him throw 16 touchdowns and five interceptions. Prior to this season, Keenum had a career QB rating of 78.6, but it’s a much different story in 2017 as his QB rating for the season sits at 98.6.

There can be only one explanation for this sudden career resurgence — STEROIDS! OK, settle down, that’s a joke. I attribute the improved play to game planning and a great offensive line that’s allowed the second-fewest sacks in the NFL at 14. Pairing him with another unlikely breakout performer in receiver Adam Thielen has been huge too. The undrafted free agent is fourth in the NFL in receiving yards and the new-found threat in the passing game has really opened up the run. Minnesota ranks sixth in rushing yards per game. This is a MASSIVE improvement from last season where they ranked dead last in the league.

Then, of course, we have the defense that’s allowing the second-fewest points per game in the NFL. In the last three weeks, they’ve held offensive juggernauts the Rams and Falcons to under 10 points, so they’re only getting better on that side of the ball. Somewhat surprisingly, they’ve done this great without having much success creating turnovers as they’re tied for 22nd with just 14 takeaways on the season. Turnovers are generally viewed as random, so imagine how much better they’d be if they had more luck in that department.

They clearly haven’t needed any luck, but Vikings bettors who are looking for some might want to get their Super Bowl futures bets in sooner than later. Their +800 odds are their lowest of the season and with every passing win, they’ll only shrink more.

Here’s a look at the complete Super Bowl futures oddsboard:

Odds to Win Super Bowl LII
TeamOdds
New England Patriots+250
Pittsburgh Steelers+550
Philadelphia Eagles+600
Minnesota Vikings+800
New Orleans Saints+900
Los Angeles Rams+1200
Atlanta Falcons+2500
Carolina Panthers+2500
Seattle Seahawks+2500
Los Angeles Chargers+2500
Tennessee Titans+2800
Jacksonville Jaguars+2800
Oakland Raiders+3300
Green Bay Packers+3300
Baltimore Ravens+4000
Kansas City Chiefs+4000
Dallas Cowboys+7500
Detroit Lions+10000
Cincinnati Bengals+10000
Buffalo Bills+20000
Washington Redskins+30000
New York Jets+30000
Miami Dolphins+50000
Arizona Cardinals+50000
Houston Texans+100000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+100000
Denver Broncos+100000

Odds as of December 4 at Bovada

Archived Articles

Remember when the Patriots had it handed to them at home on opening night? Remember when their defense was getting mocked and ridiculed after getting torched for an average of 32 points in their first four games? Remember when Tom Brady had that weird haircut at the start of last season (see below) and it all just mysteriously went away? Well, those issues and that poor fashion decision are clearly a thing of the past as the Patriots have rattled off seven straight wins (6-1 ATS in that span) and Brady’s hair looks awesome!

Offense was never much of a concern, but the defense looked as if it would be the downfall of the Patriots empire. Instead, Belichick and company made some tweaks and adjustments, and as a result, they’re allowing just 13.14 points per game during their winning streak. Speaking of offense, though, we could all probably learn a thing or two from Tom Brady and his alcohol-free, avocado-rich diet — at 40 years old, he leads the NFL in passing yards and QB rating, and has thrown just three interceptions.

The Patriots look well on their way to earning, yet again, another first overall seed in the AFC. They’ll hit the road for three straight in Buffalo, Miami and Pittsburgh, then wrap up the season at home vs the Bills and Jets. It’s a pretty easy remaining schedule, and at this point, a 13-3 record to end the season seems very realistic, with a 14-2 mark also being in reach.

Now at +250 to win the Super Bowl, it appears as if the ship has sailed on finding any real value on the Patriots. Unless the Pats suffer some type of horrific collapse, the path to the Super Bowl for AFC teams will go through New England. The conference looks especially weak this year with the Steelers being the only other standout team, but after a number of uninspiring performances vs weaker competition this season, they shouldn’t be trusted to dethrone the Patriots in the AFC.

And, yes, the Eagles are absolute dynamite and Carson Wentz might be the second coming of, well, Tom Brady, but I’d take Brady over a sophomore QB on a neutral field any day of the week.

Here’s a look at the complete Super Bowl futures oddsboard:

Odds to Win Super Bowl LII
TeamOdds
New England Patriots+250
Philadelphia Eagles+350
Pittsburgh Steelers+600
New Orleans Saints+1200
Minnesota Vikings+1200
Atlanta Falcons+1200
Los Angeles Rams+1400
Carolina Panthers+1800
Seattle Seahawks+2200
Kansas City Chiefs+3300
Los Angeles Chargers+3300
Tennessee Titans+4000
Jacksonville Jaguars+4000
Detroit Lions+6600
Oakland Raiders+6600
Baltimore Ravens+6600
Cincinnati Bengals+7500
Buffalo Bills+10000
Dallas Cowboys+15000
Washington Redskins+15000
Green Bay Packers+20000
Arizona Cardinals+25000
Houston Texans+50000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+100000
Denver Broncos+100000
Miami Dolphins+100000
New York Jets+100000
Chicago Bears+100000
Indianapolis Colts+100000

Odds as of November 28 at Bovada

Archived Articles

Finally after rattling off seven straight wins, the New Orleans Saints were about to get knocked back down to earth in Week 11. The Washington Redskins, visiting the Saints as a 9.5-point underdog, had the game well in hand with a 15-point lead inside the six-minute mark of the fourth quarter. Then, the unexpected happened when New Orleans ripped out the hearts of Redskins fans everywhere, scoring 15 unanswered points in regulation, then kicking the game-winning field goal in overtime to give them an eighth straight win. That, my friends, is a championship-calibre victory.

2017 is the year of unexpected contenders and considering they opened the season with +5000 odds to win the Super Bowl, the Saints are certainly part of that group. After three consecutive losing seasons, Drew Brees and Sean Payton should find themselves back in the playoffs this year, but they’ve gone about the 2017 campaign in a very unconventional manner. Gone is the historically bad defense as they rank in the middle of the pack in total yards allowed and they’re one of 12 teams to be allowing less than 20 points per game.

Another area they needed to address was the running game and did they ever. New Orleans leads the league in rushing touchdowns and ranks third in rushing yards. Combine that with the two-headed attack of Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram playing a significant role in the passing attack and a legit argument can be made that the Saints have the most dominant backfield in the NFL.

So, yes, their 8-2 record and balance on both sides of the ball speaks for itself. They are serious, but it will be crucial for the Saints to finish the season strong to ensure they get a first-round bye. Like any dome team, you worry about them needing to go on the road in January. Luckily for them, the majority of the other top contenders in the NFC play in a dome or in a warmer climate, with the exception of the Eagles. And that right there might be a problem if New Orleans can’t leapfrog Philly in the standings.

For now, though, the Saints at +800 to win the Super Bowl is a smart bet as that number will continue to shrink if they continue to win. This is a supremely talented team whose leaders — Brees and Payton — have been there before, so don’t be shocked if you see them there again when all is said and done.

Here’s a look at the complete Super Bowl futures oddsboard:

Odds to Win Super Bowl LII
TeamOdds
New England Patriots+275
Philadelphia Eagles+400
Pittsburgh Steelers+500
New Orleans Saints+800
Minnesota Vikings+1000
Los Angeles Rams+1800
Atlanta Falcons+1800
Kansas City Chiefs+2000
Carolina Panthers+2200
Seattle Seahawks+2500
Jacksonville Jaguars+2800
Los Angeles Chargers+3300
Tennessee Titans+5000
Detroit Lions+6600
Baltimore Ravens+7500
Dallas Cowboys+10000
Washington Redskins+10000
Cincinnati Bengals+12500
Oakland Raiders+12500
Green Bay Packers+12500
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+25000
Houston Texans+25000
Buffalo Bills+25000
Denver Broncos+50000
Arizona Cardinals+50000
Miami Dolphins+50000
New York Jets+50000
Chicago Bears+100000
Indianapolis Colts+100000

Odds as of November 24 at Bovada

Archived Articles

There’s a few types of futures bettors out there. We have the types who analyze the board and try to take advantage of what they perceive as good value based on their forecasts for a season — I fall into this group. Then we have the type who happily forks over money to the sportsbook, simply because they want to put a bet on their favorite team — sportsbooks love this type of futures bettor.

Either way, both types of bettor have been victimized by teams this season, but some more than others. Taking a look at season-opening Super Bowl futures odds vs where the odds stand today, here’s the biggest disasters in Super Bowl futures betting:

Giants +1600 to Off the Board: Wow. The Giants came into the season with the eighth-best odds to win the Super Bowl, but things really fell apart quickly. They did basically nothing to address the running game in the off-season, and once the receiving corps broke down, it was like a train crashing into a dumpster fire. At this point, I could name more problems the team has than players in their starting lineup. Expect head coach Ben McAdoo to end up on the unemployment line shortly, while the Giants would be wise to target a quarterback at the top of the draft with Eli Manning looking like, well, Peyton Manning at the end of his career. It’s safe to tear up those futures tickets.

Broncos +2800 to +15000: It looks like not having a bona fide starting quarterback has finally caught up to Denver and it doesn’t help that their once-elite defense is starting to show holes. Maybe it has to do with coaching, but the Broncos are on a five-game losing streak where they’ve been destroyed by an average of 19.4 points per game. It’s clear this is a bad team without many strengths. For years, that strength was the defense, but they’re now allowing the fourth-most points per game (26.6) in the league. This team hit the jackpot when it landed Peyton Manning at the end of his prime but went broke following his retirement and should hit the reset button on the QB position this offseason. (What’s with all the Peyton Manning references?)

Raiders +1000 to +4000: After going 12-4 last season with a handful of close wins, the Raiders have flat-out no-showed in a few games this season after a strong 2-0 start. Losing Derek Carr for a bit didn’t help matters but neither did losing by 20 in Buffalo and getting beaten at home by Baltimore. At 4-5, they can still make a playoff push, but it won’t be easy with a remaining schedule that consists of only one pushover, the Giants.

Buccaneers +3300 to +15000: No need to tiptoe around it, Jameis Winston is a bust — he’s certainly no Peyton Manning! He and the team were expected to take a big step forward this season, but they’re moving backward in a crowded NFC South. Most notably for Tampa is that they’re getting killed on the road where they’re 0-4. They’ve given up 30 or more points in each of those four games and are allowing a league-worst 441.8 yards per game on the road. The Bucs were a popular sleeper bet entering the season, but they appear to be in a season-long coma.  

Honorable Mention

Packers +880 to +5000: This is what happens when your franchise is entirely dependent on one player. Sure, Aaron Rodgers getting injured is a valid excuse for a drop-off, but without him, the Packers went from one of the best teams in the league to one of the worst and should have had a better contingency plan than Brett Hundley as QB2. At 5-4, Green Bay is still very much alive and with the likes of Baltimore, Tampa Bay and Cleveland remaining on their schedule, a playoff berth remains a possibility, but only if Rodgers can return earlier than expected.

Here’s a look at the complete Super Bowl futures oddsboard:

Odds to Win Super Bowl LII
TeamOdds
New England Patriots+333
Philadelphia Eagles+425
Pittsburgh Steelers+700
Los Angeles Rams+1000
New Orleans Saints+1000
Kansas City Chiefs+1200
Seattle Seahawks+1200
Minnesota Vikings+1600
Jacksonville Jaguars+2200
Atlanta Falcons+2200
Carolina Panthers+2500
Detroit Lions+2500
Dallas Cowboys+2800
Tennessee Titans+2800
Oakland Raiders+4000
Green Bay Packers+5000
Washington Redskins+7500
Buffalo Bills+10000
Baltimore Ravens+10000
Cincinnati Bengals+15000
Denver Broncos+15000
Los Angeles Chargers+15000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+15000
Arizona Cardinals+20000
Houston Texans+20000
Chicago Bears+20000
Miami Dolphins+25000
New York Jets+30000
Indianapolis Colts+50000

Odds as of November 13 at Bovada

Archived Articles

Usually, an article that has a headline like the one above provides a bunch of long-winded reasons to support an argument, followed by the answer to the question. I don’t beat around the bush, though, so I’ll tell you, YES, the Eagles are for real and are a serious threat to win the Super Bowl. Now here’s some hopefully not too long-winded reasons why:

Currently listed as the +400 favorite to win the Super Bowl after opening the season at +4000, the clearest indication of how good the Eagles are is that they’ve been absolutely laying the smack down on their competition this season. They already have five double-digit victories, and they’re second in the league in point differential at +104. At 8-1 SU, things are shaping up for Philly to have home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, and they’ve been humiliating opponents at Lincoln Financial Field, going 5-0 SU, winning by an average of 18.2 points!

This is a well-rounded team whose defensive unit is allowing less than 20 points per game. They’re at the top of the league in sacks with 25 and have allowed a league-low 598 rushing yards. Combine that with their 11 interceptions (tied for second-most), and it’s evident that this is a really good defense that’s bordering on being elite.

It’s offense that sells tickets, though, and the Carson Wentz-led attack is the real deal. The Eagles are one of two teams (the other being the Rams) that’s averaging over 30 points per game. It’s a balanced approach too, as they rank fifth in passing yards per game and second in rushing yards per game.

Criticisms are hard to come by, but perhaps a valid one, which isn’t at all their fault, is that they haven’t beaten anyone especially good. Their one loss came at the hands of the Chiefs, while their biggest win came in Carolina vs the 6-3, up-and-down Panthers.

8-1 is an excellent head start toward locking up that top seed, but they’re in for a serious challenge starting in Week 11 as games vs the Cowboys (twice), Seahawks and Rams highlight the remainder of their schedule. Still, it appears as if the path to an NFC championship will go through Philadelphia, and the Eagles are very much worth their +400 price tag.

Here’s a look at the complete Super Bowl futures oddsboard:

Odds to Win Super Bowl LII
TeamOdds
Philadelphia Eagles+400
New England Patriots+450
Pittsburgh Steelers+750
Kansas City Chiefs+1100
Seattle Seahawks+1200
Los Angeles Rams+1400
New Orleans Saints+1400
Dallas Cowboys+1600
Minnesota Vikings+1600
Carolina Panthers+2200
Jacksonville Jaguars+2500
Atlanta Falcons+2800
Tennessee Titans+2800
Detroit Lions+2800
Oakland Raiders+3300
Washington Redskins+5000
Green Bay Packers+6600
Buffalo Bills+6600
Houston Texans+10000
Cincinnati Bengals+10000
Denver Broncos+10000
Baltimore Ravens+10000
Los Angeles Chargers+10000
Arizona Cardinals+10000
Chicago Bears+15000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+20000
Miami Dolphins+25000
New York Jets+25000
Indianapolis Colts+30000
New York Giants+100000

Odds as of November 8 at Bovada

Archived Articles

Despite coming off their second straight convincing victory, the Dallas Cowboys still find themselves three games back of the Eagles in the NFC East, but still well within striking range of a playoff spot. After destroying the 49ers and Redskins by a combined score of 73-29, their record now sits at 4-3 and their odds to win the Super Bowl are at +1800.

With their bye week already in the rear-view mirror, the time is now for Dallas to put their foot on the gas in what’s shaping up to be a very competitive playoff race in the NFC. We’re about to find out what they’re really made of, as they’re about to embark on the most difficult three-game stretch of their season with games vs the Chiefs, Falcons and Eagles.

With some mixed results behind them and a challenging schedule in front of them, we really have to question how serious a contender Dallas is. The elephant in the room and perhaps the greatest factor for any future success is, of course, Ezekiel Elliott’s pending six-game suspension. The second-year running back has gone off the past two weeks, rushing for a total of 297 yards and four touchdowns. With the Cowboys ranking second in the NFL in rushing yards per game, they’d face a significant drop-off with Elliott out of the lineup for an extended period of time and will be forced to alter their offensive game plan with Alfred Morris and Darren McFadden filling in.

With some serious challenges ahead of them, we must also consider the other teams Dallas will be competing with for a playoff spot. A division crown appears to be out of the question, so they’ll be fighting it out with the likes of the Rams, Packers, Panthers and Falcons for a wild-card spot. A quick glance shows that Dallas likely has the toughest remaining schedule among the other wild-card contenders, which adds to the factors that make a playoff bid unlikely.

The Cowboys are a good team, but the deck is stacked against them. When you consider everything they have working against them, that +1800 Super Bowl futures price tag isn’t worth it. Save your money.

Here’s a look at the complete Super Bowl futures oddsboard:

Odds to Win Super Bowl LII
TeamOdds
New England Patriots+350
Philadelphia Eagles+600
Pittsburgh Steelers+700
Kansas City Chiefs+750
Seattle Seahawks+1000
Minnesota Vikings+1200
Atlanta Falcons+1800
Los Angeles Rams+1800
Dallas Cowboys+1800
New Orleans Saints+2000
Carolina Panthers+2800
Green Bay Packers+4000
Detroit Lions+4000
Tennessee Titans+4000
Jacksonville Jaguars+4000
Buffalo Bills+4000
Oakland Raiders+5000
Houston Texans+5000
Cincinnati Bengals+6600
Denver Broncos+6600
Baltimore Ravens+6600
Washington Redskins+10000
Los Angeles Chargers+10000
Miami Dolphins+15000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+15000
Chicago Bears+15000
Arizona Cardinals+15000
New York Giants+50000
Indianapolis Colts+50000
New York Jets+50000

Odds as of October 31 at Bovada

Archived Articles

Week 7 Sunday Night Football featured a Super Bowl rematch with many Atlanta Falcons fans and bettors hoping to avoid another disappointment to the New England Patriots. In the wake of a 23-7 victory in foggy Foxborough, the Pats are once again looking like championship contenders and oddsmakers have taken notice.

Prior to the weekend, Bovada had tabbed Tom Brady and company with a +450 shot to win the Super Bowl. After their win over the Falcons, the shop moved their odds down to +325.

After New England, the Pittsburgh Steelers (+700), Kansas City Chiefs (+900), Philadelphia Eagles (+900), Seattle Seahawks (+1000), Atlanta Falcons (+1600), Minnesota Vikings (+1600), Los Angeles Rams (+1800) and Dallas Cowboys (+2000) have the next best title odds.

The biggest faller after Week 7 was undisputedly the Green Bay Packers. Despite losing their star quarterback to a potentially season-ending collarbone injury, the Packers were still in the mix at the top of the board at +1600. But in their first appearance without Aaron Rodgers, backup signal-caller Brett Hundley failed to carry the team to a win and the green and gold fell to the New Orleans Saints 26-17, which caused books to adjust.

Here’s a look at the book’s full Super Bowl odds list:

Odds to Win Super Bowl LII
TeamOdds
New England Patriots+325
Pittsburgh Steelers+700
Kansas City Chiefs+900
Philadelphia Eagles+900
Seattle Seahawks+1000
Atlanta Falcons+1600
Minnesota Vikings+1600
Los Angeles Rams+1800
Dallas Cowboys+2000
New Orleans Saints+2200
Green Bay Packers+3300
Carolina Panthers+3300
Detroit Lions+3300
Tennessee Titans+3300
Oakland Raiders+3300
Denver Broncos+4000
Houston Texans+4000
Washington Redskins+4000
Jacksonville Jaguars+4000
Miami Dolphins+6600
Los Angeles Chargers+6600
Buffalo Bills+6600
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+10000
Cincinnati Bengals+10000
Baltimore Ravens+10000
Chicago Bears+10000
Arizona Cardinals+15000
New York Giants+50000
Indianapolis Colts+50000
New York Jets+50000

Odds as of October 23 at Bovada

Archived Articles

The NFL betting and fantasy days of many — myself included — got off to a rocky start when Aaron Rodgers went down with an injury in the first quarter of Sunday’s game vs the Vikings. It was later revealed that Rodgers suffered a broken collarbone and it’s very likely that he could miss the rest of the season. As a result, the Packers’ odds to win the Super Bowl have dropped from +500 to +1600.

Those odds haven’t dropped far enough, in my opinion, as the Pack still have the seventh-best odds to win the Super Bowl. Brett Hundley was a train wreck filling in for Rodgers, throwing three interceptions, and if he’s the starter for the remainder of the season, Green Bay should be completely written off as a Super Bowl contender.

As soon as Rodgers went down, speculation began over a few potential replacements that aren’t currently on an NFL roster — Colin Kaepernick and Tony Romo. A Kaepernick signing seems unlikely, especially with news breaking that he was filing a lawsuit against the NFL accusing the league and owners of colluding not to sign him. As for Romo, who’s currently enjoying the friendly confines of the broadcast booth, if he ever had an inkling to return, he probably couldn’t find a better situation.

The Packers still find themselves tied at the top of the NFC North and winning the division without Rodgers might not be totally inconceivable. They don’t have an extremely difficult schedule ahead of them while competition within the division is average at best.

Here’s a look at the complete Super Bowl LII oddsboard:

Odds to Win Super Bowl LII
TeamOdds
New England Patriots+450
Pittsburgh Steelers+800
Kansas City Chiefs+850
Philadelphia Eagles+850
Seattle Seahawks+1100
Atlanta Falcons+1400
Green Bay Packers+1600
Minnesota Vikings+2000
Dallas Cowboys+2200
Denver Broncos+2500
Carolina Panthers+2500
Los Angeles Rams+2500
Houston Texans+2800
Detroit Lions+3300
Washington Redskins+3300
New Orleans Saints+3300
Tennessee Titans+4000
Oakland Raiders+4000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+5000
Cincinnati Bengals+5000
Arizona Cardinals+5000
Buffalo Bills+6600
Baltimore Ravens+6600
Jacksonville Jaguars+6600
Miami Dolphins+7500
New York Giants+7500
Indianapolis Colts+10000
Los Angeles Chargers+10000
New York Jets+20000
Chicago Bears+20000
San Francisco 49ers+500000
Cleveland Browns+500000

Odds as of October 16 at Bovada

Archived Articles

With most teams passing the quarter marks of their schedules, we’re starting to see what teams are for real, while also getting a feel for what preseason contenders might be more of a pretender (see the Pittsburgh Steelers). No matter how you feel about the handful of teams at the top of the oddsboard, you’ll clearly get the best bang for your buck by targeting teams a little further down.

Here’s my picks for the best Super Bowl futures value bets in each conference entering Week 6:

Carolina Panthers (+2200): Sitting at 4-1 and on top of the NFC South, the Panthers are in a three-way tie for best record in the conference but still find themselves with worse Super Bowl odds than nine other teams. The Panthers are coming off two wins on the road vs playoff teams from 2016 and are very much for real. Cam Newton threw for 300+ yards and three touchdowns in each game and with the team averaging 31.3 points over its last three games, Carolina is starting to resemble the team from two seasons ago that won the conference.

Another big test presents itself this week at home on Thursday Night Football vs the Eagles. If they win impressively, expect to see that +2200 price drop closer to +1000, so if you’re a believer in this team, the time to get in is now.

Oakland Raiders (+5000): After opening the season at +1000, the Raiders’ odds have taken a serious dip thanks to a 2-3 start. If it wasn’t for Derek Carr’s back injury, this team could easily be 4-1, or at the very least 3-2. Reports indicate that there’s a good chance Carr returns in Week 6 for a very winnable game vs the Chargers, which will be followed by games vs the Chiefs, Bills and Dolphins. With a healthy Carr, I see the Raiders going 3-1 over this stretch, which would bring their record to 5-4.

The Raiders should absolutely be back in the playoff picture come midseason. This is the best price you’ll find on this team all season and is very much worth a gamble. 

Here’s a look at the updated oddsboard:

Odds to Win Super Bowl LII
TeamOdds
New England Patriots+450
Green Bay Packers+500
Kansas City Chiefs+650
Seattle Seahawks+1000
Philadelphia Eagles+1000
Atlanta Falcons+1200
Pittsburgh Steelers+1200
Dallas Cowboys+2000
Denver Broncos+2000
Carolina Panthers+2200
Detroit Lions+3300
Minnesota Vikings+3300
Tampa Bay Buccaneers+4000
Houston Texans+4000
Tennessee Titans+5000
Oakland Raiders+5000
Los Angeles Rams+5000
Buffalo Bills+6600
Washington Redskins+6600
New Orleans Saints+6600
Baltimore Ravens+6600
Jacksonville Jaguars+7500
Cincinnati Bengals+7500
Indianapolis Colts+10000
New York Jets+15000
Arizona Cardinals+15000
Miami Dolphins+15000
Los Angeles Chargers+20000
New York Giants+30000
Chicago Bears+100000
San Francisco 49ers+300000
Cleveland Browns+300000

Odds as of October 10 at Bovada

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