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UFC: 2018 Underdogs Vs Favorites Record

UFC Underdogs vs Favorites records

When betting on the UFC it’s all about finding that perfect pick to make some cash. However, those seemingly obvious bets can sometimes blow up in your face as we saw with the Rose Namajunas (+500) upset over Joanna Jedrzejczyk at UFC 217. Now with that example, I’m not saying to bet the farm on all huge dogs but rather pointing out that not all that glitters is gold.

Underdogs on the Rise?

Over the last three years inside the Octagon, the percentage of underdogs winning has trended downward. In 2015 the underdog win percentage was 38.5, while in 2017 it was down to 32 percent. However, 2018 may be a comeback for the dogs as we are just over halfway through the year and they are winning 35.0 percent of the fights thus far. The biggest upset to date has been Paul Craig (+550) over Magomed Ankalaev. UFC Fight Night: Moscow was not a profitable weekend one way or the other. Underdogs won just two of the 12 fights and a bet on each of the favorites on the card would have profited just $78.90

OddsShark will update the records for underdogs vs favorites broken down per card following each event. Additionally, we will break down the profits based on $100 on every underdog vs $100 on each favorite.

Here’s a look at the records so far this year:

EventUnderdog WinsFavorite WinsBiggest Upset
YEAR TO DATE110204Paul Craig (+535) over Magomed Ankalaev
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi56Mads Burnell (+175) over Mike Santiago
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou47Calvin Kattar (+205) over Shane Burgos
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2210Ji Yeon Kim (+145) over Justine Kish
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders56Lyoto Machida (+200) over Eryk Anders
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold38Yoel Romero (+157) over Luke Rockhold
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros**47Diego Ferreira (+155) over Jared Gordon
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens66Max Griffin (+310) over Mike Perry
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya57Alexander Hernandez (+330) over Beneil Dariush
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov64Paul Craig (+535) over Magomed Ankalaev
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta35Chris Gruetzemacher (+125) over Joe Lauzon
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje**49Adam Wieczorek (+275) over Arjan Bhullar
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee**27Siyar Bahadurzada (+151) over Luan Chagas
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington310Aleksei Oleinik (+130) over Junior Albini
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman**39Claudio Puelles (+245) over Felipe Silva
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till65Claudio Silva (+300) over Nordine Taleb
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes111Ben Saunders (+155) over Jake Ellenberger
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2211Sergio Pettis (+175) over Joseph Benavidez
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards49Matt Schnell (+165) over Naoki Inoue
UFC - TUF 27 Finale**55Gerald Meerschaert (+188) over Oskar Piechota
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier74Derrick Lewis (+270) over Francis Ngannou
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov67Jessica Aguilar (+147) over Jodie Esquibel
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith67Nasrat Haqparast (+148) over Marc Diakiese
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 249Dustin Ortiz (+168) over Matheus Nicolau
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 248Henry Cejudo (+385) over Demetrious Johnson
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick**48James Krause (+275) over Warlley Alves
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till49Diego Sanchez (+175) over Craig White
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik210Jan Blachowicz (+125) over Nikita Krylov

*Event featured a draw/no contest. **Event featured a fight with even odds.

EventProfit based on $100 Underdog betsProfit based on $100 favorite bets
YEAR TO DATE-3937.26-1193.14
UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi+$130.24-$160.66
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou-$100.0-$49.92
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2-$730.0+$347.91
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders+$175.0-$221.05
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold-$376.0+$118.4
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros**-$184.96-$83.08
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Stephens+$439.0-$256.11
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya+$178.0-$199.55
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov+$909.34-$408.64
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta-$176.54-$83.53
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje**-$275.99+$48.57
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee**-$408.0+$143.82
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington-$673.9+$167.42
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman**-$338.0+$55.9
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till+$490.0-$412.93
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes-$945.0+$440.22
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2-$829.76+$376.82
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards-$335.0-$12.06
UFC - TUF 27 Finale**+$140.0-$213.06
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier+$705.0-$457.0
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov+$55.0-$132.19
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith+$33.05-$265.88
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2-$443.31+$64.67
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2-$67.0-$48.13
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick**-$193.91-$55.79
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till-$334.76+$23.81
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik-$779.76+$78.9

*Event featured a draw/no contest. **Event featured a fight with even odds.

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